Re: [asa] Rejoinder 7D from Timaeus – to Iain Strachan

From: John Burgeson (ASA member) <>
Date: Wed Oct 22 2008 - 14:35:43 EDT

On 10/21/08, Timaeous <> wrote: "It would be
interesting to ask the world's 100 leading Darwinists to predict what
will happen to a population of lizards released into a new territory,
100, 200, and 500 years from now, and keep a record for posterity, and
see how well the Darwinists would do without the advantage of
hindsight. I predict that the Darwinists would do about as well as
economists would do in predicting the economy over the next 20 years,
i.e., poorly. But like the economists, the Darwinists of the future
(if there are any), will have a thousand very good reasons why their
theory is still sound, even though they were wrong."

Tim -- I see this as a bogus argument. The reason I do so can be found
in John Casti's analysis in his excellent book SEARCH FOR CERTAINTY
that points out that evolution theory, like economic theory, is a
rotten PREDICTOR of how things will go in the future. See my review of
Casti's SEARCH FOR CERTAINTY on the ASA site or at on my own site. While you are there check
out another review of CAsti's PARADIGMS LOST at


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Received on Wed Oct 22 14:36:24 2008

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