Re: Small probabilities

From: Don Winterstein <dfwinterstein@msn.com>
Date: Mon Nov 07 2005 - 14:56:41 EST

The probability of picking a point is one. The probability of picking a specific point is zero.

Don

----- Original Message -----
From: Bill Hamilton<mailto:williamehamiltonjr@yahoo.com>
To: asa@lists.calvin.edu<mailto:asa@lists.calvin.edu>
Sent: Sunday, November 06, 2005 6:01 AM
Subject: Small probabilities

I read Dembski's response to Henry Morris
(http://www.calvin.edu/archive/asa/200510/0514.html<http://www.calvin.edu/archive/asa/200510/0514.html>)
and noted that it raised an old issue I've harped on before: that you can
specify a probability below which chance is eliminated. There is a
counterexample given (among other places) in Davenport and Root's book "Random
Signals and Noise" (McGraw Hill, probably sometime in the early 60's) that goes
like this:
Draw a line 1 inch long. Randomly pick a single point on that line. The
probability of picking any point on the line is identically zero. Yet a point
is picked. Am I missing something?

I will probably unsubscribe this evening, because I don't really have time
during the week to read this list. However, I will watch the archive for
responses and either resubscribe or resspond offline as appropriate.

Bill Hamilton
William E. Hamilton, Jr., Ph.D.
586.986.1474 (work) 248.652.4148 (home) 248.303.8651 (mobile)
"...If God is for us, who is against us?" Rom 8:31

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Received on Mon Nov 7 14:55:01 2005

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