Re: Fusion Reactors

From: Walter Hicks (wallyshoes@mindspring.com)
Date: Tue Sep 10 2002 - 06:59:58 EDT

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    Glenn Morton wrote:

    >
    >
    > I would agree that if there is only a 20-30 year gap between peak oil
    > production and the onset of fusion, we might be able to muddle through. But
    > it can't be much more than that. Using historical and projected oil
    > production and population we could see the following amount of oil per
    > person per year:
    >
    > Year Barrels Population billions
    > 1950 3.5 2.5
    > 1960 3.8 3.1
    > 1970 4.73 3.7
    > 1980 5.15 4.4
    > 1990 4.47 5.3
    > 2000 4.47 6
    > 2010 3.98 6.8
    > 2020 3.17 7.5
    > 2030 2.82 8.1
    > 2040 2.02 8.6
    > 2050 0.84 9.1
    >
    > By 2020 we will be poorer in energy than we were in 1950.

    The number of barrels per person is the ratio of two numbers. May I
    suggest that
    the problem is too many people rather than too few barrels of oil.

    Walt

    ===================================
    Walt Hicks <wallyshoes@mindspring.com>

    In any consistent theory, there must
    exist true but not provable statements.
    (Godel's Theorem)

    You can only find the truth with logic
    If you have already found the truth
    without it. (G.K. Chesterton)
    ===================================



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